The number of
According to the U.S. Bankruptcy Courts, 6,705 businesses declared bankruptcy in the second quarter of 2007. This number shows a series of upward trends, including:
• a 7 percent increase over the first quarter of 2007
• a 38 percent year-over-year increase from the second quarter of 2006
• a 45 percent increase for the first half of 2007 in comparison to the first half of 2006
"Businesses today are facing serious headwinds, including a slowing economy and an increase in the cost of doing business,” said Euler Hermes ACI chief economist Daniel C. North, who earlier this year forecasted a 51 percent increase in business bankruptcies for 2007. North has said that the three most serious issues remain the effects of increased energy, raw material, and labor costs; the effects of monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve in 2004-2006; and the "decimated” housing market and its effects on consumers and businesses.
The housing market's recent effects on the financial markets have brought the seriousness of the situation to light, but North has been tracking – and predicting – the economic impact for nearly a year.
"What first tipped me off was when median prices on existing homes fell for 10 consecutive months on a year-over-year basis, which is an unprecedented event since house prices almost never fall; they have never fallen for more than two months in a row in the 38 years that records have been kept,” he said. "This is an obvious sign of a rapidly deflating asset bubble, the effects of which will continue to be felt for some time to come.”
According to the Euler Hermes business failures forecast, a return to 30,000 business bankruptcies is expected in 2007. This follows a spectacular, but one-off, reduction in business failures in 2006, when the number of corporate insolvencies dropped by 50 percent due to a 2005 change in
With business bankruptcy levels increasing, business leaders will need to be more vigilant regarding their B-to-B accounts receivable by utilizing accounts receivable management products and services, such as trade credit insurance and third-party commercial collections. For more information regarding Euler Hermes ACI products and services, visit www.eulerhermes.com/usa.
Euler Hermes ACI is North America's oldest and largest provider of trade credit insurance and accounts receivable management solutions and is the